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 Two Furlongs to Go
  by Ron Richards

It would be too easy to write this season off, as the Jazz have struggled to a curious record in the first half of the year, losing as many games as they’ve won.

It would also be a colossal mistake, as this is still the same team that went to the conference finals last year, with two of the brightest young stars in the game.

So……..What do I make of this disastrous start to the season? Am I frustrated to the point of giving up on the Jazz and waiting for the draft in hope of adding a defensive big to the puzzle?

Hell no. Are you kidding me? I heard some casual friends say that they’d given up on the Jazz, as they are horrible this year. Or are they? Yes, they’re losing games they won last year, so what’s the difference?

I think it is experience. I would have thought last year would have tempered Deron Williams to the point where he would step in a give the Jazz the stability and smarts that Derek Fisher gave the Jazz, but it hasn’t happened this far, despite Deron turning in some impressive numbers this season. The reason the Jazz are falling apart in the crunch time is twofold. One, that teams are double teaming our bigs (Boozer, Memo and Millsap), and playing zone forcing the Jazz to shoot from outside. This leads to Deron trying to force the ball inside, creating large numbers of turnovers, critical turnovers. Two, that the Jazz are lacking a presence on the floor to keep them running their offense, and stay in the defensive scheme that works so well during the rest of the game.

Derek Fisher. As much as I hated seeing him run the fast break, hated seeing him play the two, the Jazz are sorely missing his leadership and experience on the court.

I think we forget sometimes how young this team really is, considering Carlos and Deron are the big guns, at 25 and 23 years of age, respectively. It really shows up when the crunch time comes, when we have to make a stop or run the offense or we lose the game. And it only takes one or two mistakes to sink the ship, or one or two stops or baskets to win these games we’re losing. Of the last twelve losses, off the top of my head, only the Laker game was completely out of hand, where the Jazz had no chance of winning. Add the Portland game to the mix, and the Jazz could easily have won ten of those twelve games. That only adds to the frustration, but it is also the reason we should not give up, and it’s also the reason the Jazz will turn this ship around in the second half of the season, make the playoffs, and in all likelihood, go to the WCF’s.

I know, I’m the eternal optimist. It’s too late in life for me to change. I’m also a realist, in that I’m not impressed overly by a hot first half of the season, when the makeup of a team suggests that sooner or later reality will sink in, and the real team will float to the surface.

That’s why I don’t think Boston will win an NBA Championship, or Portland will keep this streak up, or especially, the Jazz will continue to struggle mired in third place in our division and out of the playoffs.

One of my favorite stories in sports is the saga of Seabiscuit, one of the greatest horses of all time. The story is well known, but my point in bringing it up is that the true nature of the horse, the overwhelming greatness, was there all the time even when the horse had been given up on by its owner, trained to lose races to promote other horses. All it took was for one man to recognize in a glance what should have been obvious to other horsemen. The horse hadn’t given up. It had the eye of a winner.

Neither have the Jazz. You can see it in their eyes.

Just like Seabiscuit, the Jazz know they should be better than they are right now. They haven’t given up, despite some rough times.

Most importantly, finally one of the pieces needed to ultimately succeed is present.

The addition of Kyle Korver can be the slight edge they need to win these games they’re losing, but even without him, the Jazz would have turned the ship around. Korver will open up the middle for Boozer, Williams, Harp, Brewer and Millsap to work their magic, and if he hits one or two three point daggers a night, keeping the offense honest and taking teams out of the zone, the Jazz become the team they should be and have the perfect offensive scheme against man to man defense. Korver hit 226 threes when teams had to concentrate on Iverson, and Carlos is the man inside.

It’s a brilliant move by KOC, who has been terrific the last two years in guiding the Jazz. Korver is young, only 26, but has more experience than Deron or Carlos. He should provide that experience during crunch time, much as Fish did for the Jazz last year. That can’t be emphasized enough, and will be obvious as the year goes on. Now, the Jazz have a swing man who can come in and hit the three with anyone in the league, it’s well known that Korver is one of the best shooters in the NBA, bar none. Goodbye, zones. Hello, three point shooting. We all know that Korver will get looks while teams concentrate on Carlos and Paul, but the addition of a three point threat will also get Memo better looks as teams won’t be able to send players out to harass him quite as easily.

When the Jazz played Philly early in the year, the one player I coveted wasn’t Iggy or Dalembert, it was a 6’7” swing who struggled that night, but his shot was a thing of beauty even when it didn’t go in. I love this kid.

Recently one of the radio hosts was talking about how teams played the Jazz much differently when Memo was in the game, because of the three. Add Korver to the mix, and the old formula of how to play the Jazz goes out the window.

But as I said before, the Jazz would have turned this around without Korver, they’re just too good to hold down for long. Ultimately, talent will out. That’s why Boston will not go the distance, despite having three great players. That’s it, they have three great players. Enough to play extremely well for extended periods of time, but during the whole length of the season, or during a seven game series, it becomes a different story. Sooner or later, the lack of depth will catch up to them. It’s inevitable. It’s a great story, and I’m glad for Danny Ainge and the Celtics, one of the great franchises in professional sports.

My money is on the nag wearing the Jazz colors. The Celtics and others are in the lead right now, but the race has a long way to go before the finish line.

I don’t buy the line that the reason the Jazz are losing is because they don’t have the bloodlines to win, Memo and Boozer can’t play defense, Hart isn’t good enough, the Jazz need to radically change the team before we can contend with the Spurs or Boston.

That’s simply horsepucky. The Jazz did just fine last year despite having less talent and a sub par Andrei Kirilenko. They came very close to winning the whole enchilada, and it took a superb effort on San Antonio’s part to stop them. By the playoffs this year, Deron and the team will have gained that experience needed to hold up in those critical minutes where games are decided and either won or lost.

One weakness, outside shooting, has been addressed and taken care of very nicely. The experience issue will resolve itself with time, wait and see. To ultimately become the best team possible, the Jazz will need to shore up their inside defense, but I believe there are ways to overcome that this year. It will ultimately need to be addressed, perhaps simply from within the organization with Ky Fesenko’s growth.

I’ve predicted greatness for this team, and I’ve never doubted it even through this losing streak. I didn’t expect this to happen, not even close, but I did think the Jazz would struggle before the All-Star break and then explode for the rest of the season. I still think that will happen. The schedule favors the Jazz then as much as it hurt them in November and December.

As for me, the season is just starting. Believe in what I write, or don’t. Doesn’t matter one way or the other, because it will come down to what happens on the court, despite what any pundit, expert, sage or seer prophesizes.

I’ve seen the eye of the horse, and I believe.